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Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems for Agriculture with Featural-Temporal Explanations

Zheng, Boyuan, Chu, Victor W.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The situation is evolving due to climate change and hence such systems should have the intelligent to continue to learn from recent climate behaviours. However, traditional single-hazard forecasting methods fall short in capturing complex interactions among concurrent climatic events. To address this deficiency, in this paper, we combine sequential deep learning models and advanced Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques to introduce a multi-hazard forecasting framework for agriculture. In our experiments, we utilize meteorological data from four prominent agricultural regions in the United States (between 2010 and 2023) to validate the predictive accuracy of our framework on multiple severe event types, which are extreme cold, floods, frost, hail, heatwaves, and heavy rainfall, with tailored models for each area. The framework uniquely integrates attention mechanisms with TimeSHAP (a recurrent XAI explainer for time series) to provide comprehensive temporal explanations revealing not only which climatic features are influential but precisely when their impacts occur. Our results demonstrate strong predictive accuracy, particularly with the BiLSTM architecture, and highlight the system's capacity to inform nuanced, proactive risk management strategies.


ClaimPKG: Enhancing Claim Verification via Pseudo-Subgraph Generation with Lightweight Specialized LLM

Pham, Hoang, Nguyen, Thanh-Do, Bui, Khac-Hoai Nam

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Integrating knowledge graphs (KGs) to enhance the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) is an emerging research challenge in claim verification. While KGs provide structured, semantically rich representations well-suited for reasoning, most existing verification methods rely on unstructured text corpora, limiting their ability to effectively leverage KGs. Additionally, despite possessing strong reasoning abilities, modern LLMs struggle with multi-step modular pipelines and reasoning over KGs without adaptation. To address these challenges, we propose ClaimPKG, an end-to-end framework that seamlessly integrates LLM reasoning with structured knowledge from KGs. Specifically, the main idea of ClaimPKG is to employ a lightweight, specialized LLM to represent the input claim as pseudo-subgraphs, guiding a dedicated subgraph retrieval module to identify relevant KG subgraphs. These retrieved subgraphs are then processed by a general-purpose LLM to produce the final verdict and justification. Extensive experiments on the FactKG dataset demonstrate that ClaimPKG achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming strong baselines in this research field by 9%-12% accuracy points across multiple categories. Furthermore, ClaimPKG exhibits zero-shot generalizability to unstructured datasets such as HoVer and FEVEROUS, effectively combining structured knowledge from KGs with LLM reasoning across various LLM backbones.


RDF-to-Text Generation with Reinforcement Learning Based Graph-augmented Structural Neural Encoders

Gao, Hanning, Wu, Lingfei, Hu, Po, Wei, Zhihua, Xu, Fangli, Long, Bo

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Considering a collection of RDF triples, the RDF-to-text generation task aims to generate a text description. Most previous methods solve this task using a sequence-to-sequence model or using a graph-based model to encode RDF triples and to generate a text sequence. Nevertheless, these approaches fail to clearly model the local and global structural information between and within RDF triples. Moreover, the previous methods also face the non-negligible problem of low faithfulness of the generated text, which seriously affects the overall performance of these models. To solve these problems, we propose a model combining two new graph-augmented structural neural encoders to jointly learn both local and global structural information in the input RDF triples. To further improve text faithfulness, we innovatively introduce a reinforcement learning (RL) reward based on information extraction (IE). We first extract triples from the generated text using a pretrained IE model and regard the correct number of the extracted triples as the additional RL reward. Experimental results on two benchmark datasets demonstrate that our proposed model outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines, and the additional reinforcement learning reward does help to improve the faithfulness of the generated text.